Hashness against convicted criminals
lundi 28 février 2022 à 21:06The steady right-wing pressure to maintain maximum harshness against convicted criminals seizes on and magnifies any outlying case.
Every decision about policies in dealing with crime is a probabilistic one. If you replace policy A with policy B, there will be cases where the result of B is better and cases where the result of B is worse. Whether B is a change for the better overall depends on the frequency of better and worse outcomes.
A wave of indignation is not a substitute for a rational evaluation of. the results of using policy B, not even in one specific case. We don't know yet whether convict Tubbs will commit more crimes after experiencing juvenile hall than she would have committed after a sentence in adult prison. Indeed, the general experience with adult prison suggests it often directs prisoners toward a life of crime.
If B turns out to give worse results in a identifiable subset of cases, that doesn't necessary imply that going back to A is the best change. Maybe some variant B' would be better than either A or B in such cases.
So I think that Gascon's latest decision was premature.